The position of European countries in aiding Ukraine has changed Teng Jianqun： Consultation and negotiation is the key to solving the contradiction between Russia and Ukraine.

As of November 19, 2024, the Russian-Ukrainian war has been burning for 1000 days. On November 17, Russia used a large number of missiles and drones to conduct a large-scale joint air strike on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. Uzbekistan said that this was one of the largest attacks launched by Russian troops against Ukraine since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Earlier, the Group of Seven (G7) issued a statement reaffirming its "firm support" for Ukraine. How will the Russian-Ukrainian conflict develop?

Russia warns European and American countries

According to reports, the Russian Ministry of Defence announced that on November 17, Russian armed forces launched a large-scale attack on key energy infrastructure and enterprises producing military products to ensure the operation of Ukraine’s military-industrial complex. The attack used long-range air-based and sea-based high-precision weapons and attacked drones, and all targets were hit.

Teng Jianqun, a military observer, analyzed the reasons why Russia launched a large-scale strike.

Teng Jianqun: First, the Russian army that is driving Ukrainian troops in the direction of Kursk is full of confidence. Second, Russia stepped up its military strike against Ukraine during the 31st APEC Economic Leaders’ Informal Meeting, with the intention of warning European and American countries that continued military aid to Ukraine will not achieve the expected results. Third, put pressure on the Zelensky government.

Poland submits "warlords" to the United States.

Data Map: Polish Air Force F-16 fighter (Source: China National Defense News)

According to reports, the Polish side said that on November 17, Poland urgently dispatched fighter planes to mobilize all available forces in response to Russia’s "large-scale" missile and drone attacks on Ukraine.

Teng Jianqun believes that Poland took the initiative to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict at the expense of "setting itself on fire" in order to submit a "warlords" to the United States.

Teng Jianqun: After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Poland became a "bridgehead" for European and American countries to provide assistance to Ukraine, which not only allowed a large number of US troops to station, but also allowed the United States to deploy a missile defense system. Poland believes that by hugging the thighs of the United States, it can ensure safety.

The Group of Seven is not "monolithic"

Data Map: From June 13 to June 15, 2024, the Group of Seven (G7) Summit was held in Italy (Source: Global Times)

On November 16th, the Group of Seven issued a joint statement, reiterating that Russia will "pay the price" for the conflict between Russia and Ukraine through economic sanctions, export control and other measures. The statement stressed that the G-7 will always support Ukraine.

Teng Jianqun believes that with the transfer of power in the United States, the Trump administration may reshape its policy toward Ukraine in the future, and the "firm support" promised by the G-7 may not be implemented.

Teng Jianqun: At present, the Group of Seven has become a tool for the United States to exert influence on Europe. After Trump takes office, once the policy towards Europe, Ukraine and Russia is adjusted, it will have a huge impact on the issue of aiding Ukraine. A few days ago, German Chancellor Angela Scholz spoke to Russian President Vladimir Putin, which fully demonstrated that the G-7 is not monolithic.

Negotiation is the key.

Data Map: Ukrainian President Zelensky (Source: World Wide Web)

According to Ukrainian media reports, a few days ago, Ukrainian President Zelensky said that he hoped to put the Ukrainian issue on the agenda of the G20 summit.

In this regard, Teng Jianqun analyzed it.

Teng Jianqun: Since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has been delayed, the position of European countries in aiding Ukraine has changed, making it difficult for Ukraine to "speak" on such an important international platform. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to usher in a turning point at the G20 summit, and negotiation is the key to resolving the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

(Yang Guangwang Military Channel reporter: Li Xiaobo)